Montana State
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
456  Alyssa Snyder FR 20:51
771  Chiara Warner JR 21:17
832  Rachel Atwood SR 21:22
851  Kaylee Schmitz JR 21:24
988  Jenette Northey JR 21:34
1,034  Louisa Serpe SO 21:37
1,230  Rachel Sullivan SR 21:51
National Rank #142 of 339
Mountain Region Rank #14 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 6.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Alyssa Snyder Chiara Warner Rachel Atwood Kaylee Schmitz Jenette Northey Louisa Serpe Rachel Sullivan
Montana Invitational 10/03 1144 20:57 21:06 21:23 21:19 21:34 21:45 21:56
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 1094 20:26 21:20 21:43 21:37 21:33 21:19 21:45
Big Sky Championships 10/31 1143 21:06 21:20 21:02 21:07 21:44 22:37 21:47
Mountain Region Championships 11/13 1153 20:54 21:27 21:26 21:35 21:31 21:14 22:02





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 12.8 371 0.1 1.1 5.2 17.9 28.1 18.4 11.6 8.0 5.3 3.2 1.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alyssa Snyder 0.2% 192.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alyssa Snyder 54.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Chiara Warner 74.4
Rachel Atwood 78.3
Kaylee Schmitz 79.4
Jenette Northey 88.1
Louisa Serpe 90.5
Rachel Sullivan 102.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 1.1% 1.1 9
10 5.2% 5.2 10
11 17.9% 17.9 11
12 28.1% 28.1 12
13 18.4% 18.4 13
14 11.6% 11.6 14
15 8.0% 8.0 15
16 5.3% 5.3 16
17 3.2% 3.2 17
18 1.0% 1.0 18
19 0.0% 0.0 19
20 20
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0